They can be seen in everything from match results, statistics, player shirt numbers, and they are also used for timekeeping. Since Carlo Ancelotti's first Premier League match in charge on 26 December, Everton have had more shots than any other team (50). The last team to have a longer scoring run in the Premier League was Manchester United in November 2008 (36). It might be difficult to spend your money on the remaining premium players without sacrificing more efficiency than is optimal. Premier League Primary Stars Inspire your pupils with our new video resource: This is Everyone's Game - Black Voices.Listen to top Black football players talk about their life experiences and footballing careers. Last season, 36-year-old Simon March, who works in digital marketing, beat more than 3.5 million others to the Premier League title. More News: Latest News Latest Videos. To help support you, we will be making our free curriculum-linked resources on PLPrimaryStars.com available to all, not just teachers, for home learning, with no registration required. Following the news this week of school closures in the UK from Friday, we are aware many people will be looking for ways to entertain and educate children. There will be fun activities to keep children active and learning at home. There should be goals - only bottom of the table Norwich have kept as few Premier League clean sheets this season as Tottenham (two), while Liverpool have scored in 29 consecutive matches. As an exercise which, at its core, centres on the optimal allocation of scarce resources and the ability to identify efficiencies ahead of the market to establish a comparative advantage, FPL is well suited for discussion in the language of Economics. Each week Premier League Primary Stars helps families keep their children educated and entertained with the Friday Family Challenge. For more exciting Primary Stars maths activities, you can head to BBC Bitesize Daily lessons today to take part in our Timekeeping, Handling Data in Football and Position and Direction challenges. External Link, Premier League calls on fans to challenge racism, Early team news: Strikers ruled out External Link, How to check FPL bonus points during matches, Klopp's update on Virgil van Dijk and Thiago Alcantara injuries External Link, Calvert-Lewin earns Everton derby draw External Link, Newcastle United 1 Manchester United 4 (caveat: this articles condenses complex concepts into bitesize chunks – there is obviously far more depth and detail to the concept, with reams of academic and practical theory that informs what is reported here). To illustrate some examples, a simple look at Cost vs Points per Match for the 18/19 season shows a naturally occurring Pareto Efficiency Frontier (red line); this resembles an Economic ‘Production Possibility Frontier’ and shows the limits of your production (points) capability relative to your investment. External Link, Calvert-Lewin earns Everton derby draw Take for example Mohammed Salah in 18/19: he put up season-long averages of 0.6 xG90 (Expected Goals per 90 Mins) & 0.3 xA90 (…Assists). External Link, Premier League calls on fans to challenge racism, Early team news: Strikers ruled out It was the most remarkable scoreline of the season so far -, If you're a horses-for-courses kind of person you may well consider bringing in, for this weekend. Defined as “the value of the next best opportunity foregone” (or “the cost of the next best thing”, as my High-School Economics … Solve, Shoot, Score - An interactive football themed game with quick-fire maths and spelling questions. Report: Newcastle 1 United 4 Jose Mourinho is back to make the Premier League more interesting and we're here to give you some fantasy football tips. External Link, Friday Family Challenge: Show resilience to learn a new skill, Primary Stars: Celebrating World Ocean Day, Primary Stars: Swot up on your Premier League facts, Sterling returns Man City to winning ways, Vestergaard stuns Chelsea with late equaliser, GW5 FPL stats: Nearly two million managers swoop for Son, FPL team news: Klopp gives update on Van Dijk injury, Calvert-Lewin rescues derby draw for Everton, Calvert-Lewin: It's important to speak about racism, MW5 stats: Man Utd target club first at Newcastle, Maddison dedicates Budweiser Goal award to club doctor, Owen: Salah's finishing has improved so much, Owen: Calvert-Lewin has the world at his feet. External Link, Newcastle United 1 Manchester United 4 Using the Primary Stars Everyday Numbers Challenge worksheet, make a note of your daily activity and bring it to life with times, details and drawings. 01:39 On this day - 13 Oct 2001: Sunderland 1-3 Man Utd 13/10/2020 CC AD; 02:01 … Television and radio presenter Lauren Layfield explains more in the video above. External Link, City v Arsenal: De Bruyne fitness update Spurs have problems though. Have you noticed that numbers can be found everywhere in football? This all helps to illustrate the high-stakes gambles we are forced to make with premium players, weighing the Opportunity Costs of, for example, sacrificing quality in the rest of our squads to hold multiple Premium assets, or when ‘Captaining’ a particular player over another. In future articles we might explore how these concepts can be applied to the Evaluation of our Decisions: helping us Learn from Mistakes & separate Luck from Skill to avoid some of the pitfalls we can so easily fall prey to. The two Liverpool full-backs (green dots) represent outlying efficiencies, which should be taken advantage of. In the FPL Community, there are plenty of resources which do exactly that, using probability modelling (via Bookie Odds or otherwise) to create EV projections for upcoming FPL Points. To kick off your at-home activity, why not try out these two games? Having a solid, objective idea of what we are passing up when making a decision is a great place to start. Whether we are conscious of it or not, it is my belief that we are all using quantifiable probabilistic determinations to help with all of our decisions in FPL. Often in FPL, our decisions might come down to whom we are most willing to live without – choosing “the hill on which we are prepared to die” – this is equivalent to recognising those choices where the Opportunity Cost is smallest. Defined as “the value of the next best opportunity foregone” (or “the cost of the next best thing”, as my High-School Economics teacher put it), Opportunity Cost is a fundamental Economic concept which is helpful in the making and evaluating of decisions. External Link, Match report: Points shared in dramatic Goodison derby draw External Link, Match report: Points shared in dramatic Goodison derby draw They can be seen in everything from match results, statistics, player shirt numbers, and they are also used for timekeeping. I relate this to the adage of advising against ‘sideways moves’, where we transfer broadly equivalent (fit-and-available) players for one-another: the often overlooked Opportunity Cost of using some of your scarce resource in this way – a Free Transfer, or even a Points ‘Hit’ – is that you forego the points of the departing player, whose chance of an explosive return is unlikely to be very different to his replacement’s. To receive a weekly round-up of new activities, sign up here. In Probability Theory, when you analyse the range of possible outcomes for an uncertain event and assign probabilities to each in order to find the most likely ‘average’ outcome, you create an Expected Value (EV). For now, though, hopefully this article has served as a good introduction to how applying some concepts from the fields of Economics & Probability Theory can help us to make better decisions through increasing our understanding of the value in the options we are passing up – the Opportunity Cost. External Link, Match report: Manchester City 1-0 Arsenal Don't get caught out by a Friday night deadline as fantasy football returns this week - but who should you be bringing in? It seems only a matter of time before Liverpool end their long wait for a Premier League title - and even though they head to Tottenham Hotspur this weekend the stats suggest you'd do well to keep faith with the men in red. Stick with Maths - Try our bitesize maths puzzles, using data from Premier League football stickers (ages 8 to 11). External Link, Jose's five-point preview - West Ham If you need to replace him in your side, the strikers with more goals this season are Manchester United's Marcus Rashford and Tammy Abraham of Chelsea (both 12), Southampton's Danny Ings and Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (both 13) and Leicester City's Jamie Vardy (17). No player has ever scored three or more goals in three consecutive games against an opponent, with Luis Suarez against Norwich the only player to score three hat-tricks against a side in the competition. However, this requires using two out of three Liverpool slots and so the Opportunity Cost of picking both might be having only one remaining Liverpool slot available for an attacker. That would mean that transferring Salah in for a four-point hit for a playing midfielder with no attacking threat (think Dale Stephens’), would pretty much be a coin-toss as to whether it pays off over a single Gameweek. As FPL managers we seek to ‘produce’ points, and the scarce resources we have with which to achieve this could be Money Available, Free Transfers, slots in our team, Captaincy or ‘Chips’. External Link, Newcastle United 1 Manchester United 4 How to get into football - the most popular sport in the world, with clubs and facilities throughout the UK. Therefore, for an average fixture, he would have the following Probability Distributions for Goals, Assists & their corresponding FPL points: We can see that despite Salah’s known prowess, the single most likely outcome is that he registers zero goals or assists (i.e. External Link, Try Super Movers to keep kids active at home, Sterling returns Man City to winning ways, Vestergaard stuns Chelsea with late equaliser, GW5 FPL stats: Nearly two million managers swoop for Son, FPL team news: Klopp gives update on Van Dijk injury, Calvert-Lewin rescues derby draw for Everton, Calvert-Lewin: It's important to speak about racism, MW5 stats: Man Utd target club first at Newcastle, Maddison dedicates Budweiser Goal award to club doctor, Owen: Salah's finishing has improved so much, Owen: Calvert-Lewin has the world at his feet. Wherever there is scarcity, there is choice. To kick off your at-home activity, why not try out these two games? The England captain has scored 11 times in the league this season but is now out with a torn hamstring. External Link, Spoils shared after six-goal thriller For more exciting Primary Stars maths activities, you can head to BBC Bitesize Daily lessons today to take part in our Timekeeping, Handling Data in Football and Position and Direction challenges. Television and radio presenter Lauren Layfield explains more in the video above. If you're tempted to make changes with the Friday night game in mind, you may be keen to hear that captain Mark Noble's two goals against Bournemouth took him to 45 Premier League goals, just two behind Paolo di Canio, who is the Hammers' record scorer in the competition. External Link, Match report: Points shared in dramatic Goodison derby draw And for this week's challenge, we would like your family to think about the numbers you use during your daily routine and to create a timeline of your day. However, due to the rules of the game, some of these players will be required to fill our squads. External Link, Newcastle United 1 Manchester United 4 I personally use them for all of my FPL decision-making, but even they conceal the rather wide distribution of possible outcomes that could occur in any given match. Primary Stars uses the appeal of the Premier League and professional football clubs to inspire children to learn, be active and develop important life skills.

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